Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
0.3) 
-0.04) 
