Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
Result | ||
Galatasaray | Draw | Toulouse |
44.41% ( 0.3) | 23.8% ( -0.04) | 31.78% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( 0.08) | 41.22% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( 0.08) | 63.62% ( -0.08) |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( 0.16) | 18.83% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% ( 0.26) | 50.27% ( -0.27) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.12) | 25.17% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( -0.17) | 59.89% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Galatasaray | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.78% |
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