Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
