SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 54.96%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
54.96% ( 0.03) | 22.33% ( -0.08) | 22.71% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.42) | 41.41% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( 0.43) | 63.81% ( -0.43) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.16) | 15% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 0.3) | 43.45% ( -0.3) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.28) | 31.87% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( 0.32) | 68.32% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.71% |
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