Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
