SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
40.04% ( 0.15) | 24% ( -0.05) | 35.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( 0.21) | 41% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( 0.21) | 63.39% ( -0.21) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0.16) | 20.67% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( 0.25) | 53.25% ( -0.25) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.04) | 22.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( 0.06) | 56.36% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.95% |
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