SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
52.07% ( -0.6) | 23.66% ( 0.05) | 24.27% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.34) | 45.71% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.32) | 68.03% ( -0.32) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.1) | 17.55% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.9% ( -0.17) | 48.09% ( 0.17) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.66) | 32.88% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.73) | 69.45% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.27% |
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