SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
46.1% ( -0.99) | 24.65% ( 0.29) | 29.25% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( -0.84) | 46.32% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.8) | 68.61% ( 0.8) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( -0.76) | 20.18% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% ( -1.23) | 52.47% ( 1.23) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( 0.08) | 29.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( 0.09) | 65.35% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.25% |
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