Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
