Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.