SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Zurich | 7 | -12 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Winterthur | 7 | -13 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Luzern | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
32.33% ( -0.05) | 23.84% ( -0.01) | 43.84% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( 0.04) | 41.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 0.04) | 63.55% ( -0.04) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.01) | 24.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.02) | 59.39% ( 0.02) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.05) | 19.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( 0.07) | 50.62% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.33% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.84% |
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