SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
39.87% ( -0.39) | 24.05% ( 0.03) | 36.07% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( -0.11) | 41.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( -0.11) | 63.63% ( 0.11) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.23) | 20.85% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -0.37) | 53.54% ( 0.36) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0.14) | 22.75% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( 0.21) | 56.43% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.07% |
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