SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Basel | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 5 | -9 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lugano | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Basel | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Basel |
43.5% ( 0.3) | 24.57% ( -0.04) | 31.93% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.1) | 44.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.09) | 67.09% ( -0.1) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( 0.18) | 20.66% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( 0.27) | 53.24% ( -0.28) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.11) | 26.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% ( -0.15) | 62.07% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.93% |
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