Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Basel
43.5% ( 0.3)	24.57% ( -0.04)	31.93% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.1)

44.72% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.91% (

0.09)

67.09% (

-0.1)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.18)

20.66% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

0.27)

53.24% (

-0.28)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

-0.11)

26.78% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.93% (

-0.15)

62.07% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 43.5%

Basel 31.93%

Draw 24.57%

FC Zurich	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.93%