SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
34.29% ( 0.15) | 23.67% ( -0.07) | 42.03% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.19% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.4) | 39.72% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( 0.41) | 62.07% ( -0.41) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( 0.27) | 23% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( 0.39) | 56.81% ( -0.39) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.14) | 19.23% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( 0.22) | 50.93% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.03% |
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