SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Basel | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 6 | -10 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sion | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lugano | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Basel | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
49.17% ( -1) | 23.13% ( -0.09) | 27.69% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( 1.28) | 40.42% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( 1.3) | 62.8% ( -1.3) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.11) | 16.65% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( 0.2) | 46.5% ( -0.2) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( 1.45) | 27.44% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( 1.84) | 62.92% ( -1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.91% Total : 27.69% |
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