SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
41.37% ( 0.03) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 32.7% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -0.02) | 50.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -0.02) | 72.37% ( 0.03) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.01) | 24.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( 0.01) | 58.44% ( 0) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.03) | 29.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.03) | 65.02% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.7% |
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