SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
44.93% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( 0.13) | 29.85% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( -0.61) | 48.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.56) | 70.6% ( 0.56) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.26) | 21.57% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( -0.4) | 54.66% ( 0.4) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( -0.39) | 30.03% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( -0.47) | 66.15% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.85% |
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