SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
48.26% ( -1.05) | 23.81% ( 0.22) | 27.92% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( -0.4) | 43.38% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.4) | 65.77% ( 0.39) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.56) | 18.12% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( -0.96) | 49.07% ( 0.95) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.39) | 28.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.48) | 64.64% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.92% |
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