Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Basel |
28.72% ( -0.14) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 48.96% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 64.28% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.23% ( -0.22) | 35.77% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.16% ( -0.24) | 57.84% ( 0.24) |
Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.2) | 24.37% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.22% ( -0.28) | 58.78% ( 0.27) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% ( -0.05) | 15% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.54% ( -0.08) | 43.46% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Basel |
2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.96% |
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