Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
