Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
