SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Sion had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
44.36% ( 0.08) | 24.31% ( -0.04) | 31.33% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.18) | 43.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0.17) | 66.16% ( -0.17) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( 0.11) | 19.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( 0.17) | 52.01% ( -0.17) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( 0.06) | 26.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( 0.08) | 61.95% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.33% |
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