SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Sion had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sion | Draw | Lugano |
26.45% ( 0.81) | 23.5% ( -0.06) | 50.04% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.95) | 43.08% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.93) | 65.48% ( -0.94) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 1.13) | 29.72% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( 1.35) | 65.78% ( -1.35) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 0.08) | 17.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( 0.14) | 47.7% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sion | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.04% |
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