SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Basel | 40 | 2.22 | Traore |
| 2 | Luzern | 33 | 1.83 | Klidje |
| 3 | Lausanne | 31 | 1.72 | Sanches |
| 4 | Lugano | 30 | 1.67 | Steffen |
| 5 | Servette | 29 | 1.61 | Kutesa |
| 6 | St Gallen | 29 | 1.61 | Akolo |
| 7 | Sion | 25 | 1.39 | Chouaref |
| 8 | Young Boys | 25 | 1.39 | Ganvoula |
| 9 | FC Zurich | 24 | 1.33 | Jose Perea |
| 10 | Grasshopper | 17 | 0.94 | Morandi |
| 11 | Winterthur | 16 | 0.89 | Di Giusto |
| 12 | Yverdon Sport | 16 | 0.89 | Cespedes |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Pafos FC |
40.89% ( -0.05) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 34.78% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.04) | 42.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( 0.04) | 65.16% ( -0.05) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0) | 21.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( -0) | 53.81% |
| Pafos FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 0.05) | 24.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( 0.07) | 58.46% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Pafos FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.78% |
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