SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Lugano |
44.14% ( -0.01) | 24.43% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( -0.01) | 66.63% ( 0) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( -0.01) | 20.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.52% ( -0.01) | 52.48% ( 0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( 0) | 26.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( 0) | 62.17% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.44% |
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