Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Servette
30.18% ( 0)	24.37%	45.45%

Both teams to score 57.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41%

44.59% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04%

66.96% (

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

27.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

63.45%

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25%

19.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21%

51.79% (

Score Analysis

Lugano 30.18%

Servette 45.45%

Draw 24.37%

Lugano	Draw	Servette
2-1 @ 7.29% 1-0 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.18%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.45%