SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Gallen | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Servette | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luzern | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
75.1% ( 3.7) | 14.93% ( -1.36) | 9.97% ( -2.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -3.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.14) | 31.69% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.8% ( -0.17) | 53.2% ( 0.18) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.91% ( 0.71) | 7.08% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.17% ( 1.84) | 25.83% ( -1.84) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -4.1) | 41.73% ( 4.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -3.79) | 78.2% ( 3.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 1.02)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.87)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.39)5-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.56)5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.29)6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.72% Total : 75.09% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.6)0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.93% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.97% |
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