Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 9.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.

Result
Young Boys	Draw	Lugano
75.1% ( 3.7)	14.93% ( -1.36)	9.97% ( -2.34)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-3.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.31% (

-0.14)

31.69% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.8% (

-0.17)

53.2% (

0.18)

Young Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.91% (

0.71)

7.08% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.17% (

1.84)

25.83% (

-1.84)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-4.1)

41.73% (

4.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-3.79)

78.2% (

3.8)

Score Analysis

Young Boys 75.09%

Lugano 9.97%

Draw 14.93%

Young Boys	Draw	Lugano
2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.34) 4-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.87) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.39) 5-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.56) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.29) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.72% Total : 75.09%	1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.93%	1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.97%