Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
33.82% ( 0.19)	23.41% ( -0.35)	42.77% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 63.03% (

1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.43% (

1.77)

38.56% (

-1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.14% (

1.84)

60.86% (

-1.84)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.94)

22.73% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

1.37)

56.4% (

-1.37)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

0.8)

18.43% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

1.32)

49.61% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Lugano 33.82%

St Gallen 42.78%

Draw 23.4%

Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.82%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 42.78%