SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Servette had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
40.61% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( 0.01) | 34.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.02) | 45.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( -0.02) | 68.24% ( 0.02) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0) | 22.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.01) | 56.1% ( 0.01) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.02) | 25.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -0.03) | 60.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.39% |
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