SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
40.67% ( 0.61) | 24.08% ( 0.34) | 35.24% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% ( -1.77) | 41.5% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( -1.82) | 63.9% ( 1.82) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.47) | 20.59% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -0.75) | 53.12% ( 0.75) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -1.32) | 23.31% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( -1.95) | 57.26% ( 1.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.24% |
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