SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
40.25% ( -0.03) | 23.81% ( -0.02) | 35.94% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.11) | 40.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.11) | 62.42% ( -0.11) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( 0.03) | 20.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( 0.05) | 52.45% ( -0.05) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.08) | 22.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( 0.11) | 55.73% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.94% |
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