SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
42.73% ( 0.02) | 22.93% ( -0.01) | 34.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.01% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( 0.02) | 36.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.03) | 58.14% ( -0.03) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0.02) | 17.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% ( 0.03) | 47.87% ( -0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( 0) | 21.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( 0) | 54.19% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 4.11% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.34% |
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