SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
74.98% ( 0.03) | 14.77% ( -0.01) | 10.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0) | 29.95% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% | 51.14% ( 0) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.28% ( 0.01) | 6.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.15% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( -0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.04% ( -0.03) | 39.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% ( -0.03) | 76.62% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 4.18% Total : 74.98% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.68% 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.77% | 1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.24% |
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