SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Luzern |
42.71% ( -0.11) | 24.59% ( 0) | 32.69% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( 0.02) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.08% ( 0.02) | 66.91% ( -0.02) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.04) | 20.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.06) | 53.68% ( 0.06) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0.08) | 26.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 0.1) | 61.32% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.69% |
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