Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
34.82% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() | 40.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% (![]() | 45.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% (![]() | 67.79% (![]() |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% (![]() | 60.19% (![]() |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% (![]() | 22.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% (![]() | 56.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
2-1 @ 8.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.71% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.27% |
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