SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
34.82% ( -1.77) | 24.91% ( 0.43) | 40.27% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -2.23) | 45.46% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -2.17) | 67.79% ( 2.17) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( -2.01) | 25.39% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( -2.84) | 60.19% ( 2.84) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( -0.32) | 22.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0.48) | 56.04% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.71)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.27% |
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