MX23RW : Wednesday, August 17 17:11:32
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May 22, 2022 at 5.15pm UK at Estádio Nacional
Porto
3 - 1
Tondela
Taremi (22' pen., 74'), Vitinha (52')
Grujic (77'), Conceicao (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borges (73')
Alves (17'), Barbosa (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Tondela 0-3 Porto

Still licking their wounds following their relegation, Tondela will head into the weekend seeking to restore some pride and pick up their first cup title. However, they have lost each of their last 12 games against Porto, while managing just one win in their last 15 encounters. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are tipping Porto to come away with a comfortable win and clinch the title on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 81.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 5.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawTondela
81.78% (1.583 1.58) 12.35% (-1.238 -1.24) 5.87% (-0.3459 -0.35)
Both teams to score 42.84% (2.77 2.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09% (4.788 4.79)34.91% (-4.787 -4.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11% (5.161 5.16)56.89% (-5.16 -5.16)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.54% (1.354 1.35)6.46% (-1.354 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.84% (3.578 3.58)24.16% (-3.578 -3.58)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.8% (2.334 2.33)54.2% (-2.334 -2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.6% (1.38 1.38)87.4% (-1.379 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Porto 81.77%
    Tondela 5.87%
    Draw 12.35%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 13.14% (-1.21 -1.21)
3-0 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 9.59% (-1.667 -1.67)
4-0 @ 8.22% (0.444 0.44)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 7.35% (0.393 0.39)
4-1 @ 5.03% (0.599 0.6)
5-0 @ 4.5% (0.539 0.54)
5-1 @ 2.76% (0.497 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.267 0.27)
6-0 @ 2.06% (0.372 0.37)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.277 0.28)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.299 0.3)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 81.77%
1-1 @ 5.88% (-0.548 -0.55)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.917 -0.92)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 12.35%
0-1 @ 2.15% (-0.375 -0.38)
1-2 @ 1.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 5.87%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Porto
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Monday, April 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 7-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-0 Tondela
Sunday, May 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Tondela
Monday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Tondela
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 2-0 Tondela
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
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