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P
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
T

Porto
3 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (30', 82'), Evanilson (33')
Uribe (60'), Grujic (64'), Taremi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khacef (37'), Barbosa (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-0 Tondela

While Tondela will be looking to cause the first major upset of the 2022-23 Portuguese campaign, they have struggled for results against Porto, losing each of their last 13 meetings since 2016. Conceicao's men head into the weekend with a new-look squad, but they are capable of coming away with the desired results. Therefore, we predict a one-sided contest with the Dragoes claiming the title in 90 minutes against the CDT Auriverdes, who are winless in 11 consecutive games across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.96%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (2.16%).

Result
PortoDrawTondela
80.38% (0.374 0.37) 12.76% (-0.214 -0.21) 6.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.64% (0.431 0.43)32.35% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.02% (0.501 0.5)53.97% (-0.506 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (0.157 0.16)6.21% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (0.444 0.44)23.46% (-0.448 -0.45)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.65% (-0.12 -0.12)49.34% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)84.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Porto 80.38%
    Tondela 6.85%
    Draw 12.76%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.62% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 4.23% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.96% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 80.38%
1-1 @ 6.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 12.76%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 6.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Porto
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Monday, April 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-0 Tondela
Sunday, May 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Tondela
Monday, May 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Tondela
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal


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