SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
23.17% ( 1.25) | 26.63% ( 0.72) | 50.2% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -1.44) | 58.26% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -1.14) | 78.9% ( 1.13) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% ( 0.42) | 40.85% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( 0.38) | 77.42% ( -0.38) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -1.47) | 23.33% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( -2.19) | 57.29% ( 2.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.25% Total : 23.17% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 13.87% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( -0.33)1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.19% |
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