SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
55.67% ( 1.39) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 21.35% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( -1.32) | 45.95% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( -1.26) | 68.26% ( 1.26) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( 0.02) | 16.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( 0.03) | 45.94% ( -0.03) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -1.99) | 35.67% ( 1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -2.11) | 72.45% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.35% |
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