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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
M

Braga
2 - 1
Malmo

Horta (36'), Djalo (55')
Oliveira (48'), Infande (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sejdiu (77')
Chalus (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Braga
Sunday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Varbergs 2-5 Malmo
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Braga 2-0 Malmo

Braga will be backing themselves to come away with maximum points as they take on a Malmo side who have lost each of their five games in the campaign. The Primeira Liga side appear to have hit their stride once again and we are tipping them to claim a third consecutive victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawMalmo
57.55% (0.067 0.07) 24.38% (-0.055 -0.05) 18.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.179 0.18)55.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.145 0.15)76.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (0.091000000000008 0.09)19.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (0.154 0.15)50.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (0.088999999999999 0.09)44.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (0.07 0.07)80.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Braga 57.54%
    Malmo 18.07%
    Draw 24.38%
BragaDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 14.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 18.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Braga
Sunday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union SG 3-3 Braga
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Varbergs 2-5 Malmo
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hacken 2-1 Malmo
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-3 Djurgarden
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 2-1 Malmo
Monday, October 17 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Malmo
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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