SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Porto |
41.58% ( 0.02) | 25.9% ( 0.02) | 32.52% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( -0.09) | 50.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( -0.08) | 72.29% ( 0.08) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.03) | 23.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( -0.04) | 58.23% ( 0.04) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.07) | 29.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( -0.09) | 65.1% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
