Despite already having a win under their belts, Estoril will recognise that they will probably have to win this fixture in order to progress. That may play into Porto's hands and we feel that the visitors should be able to record a hard-earned victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
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