SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Mafra |
78.66% ( -0.28) | 14.03% ( 0.17) | 7.31% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.38) | 37.12% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.42) | 59.32% ( 0.42) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.43% ( -0.14) | 7.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.89% ( -0.38) | 27.11% ( 0.38) |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.39% ( 0.02) | 51.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.26% ( 0.02) | 85.75% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Mafra |
| 2-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.03% | 0-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.31% |
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