Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Brugge | Draw | Porto |
42.02% ( -0.25) | 22.24% ( 0.02) | 35.73% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 68.05% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.78% ( -0.05) | 32.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.18% ( -0.05) | 53.81% ( 0.05) |
Club Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.84% ( -0.12) | 16.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.39% ( -0.21) | 45.6% ( 0.21) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0.08) | 18.83% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% ( 0.15) | 50.27% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Club Brugge | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.73% |
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