Sporting Lisbon are currently firing on all cylinders under Amorim and will be kicking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Nacional side who have struggled for results this season.
While we expect Amorim to ring several changes, the Leoes boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 5.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (1.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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