SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
39.87% ( -0.44) | 24.98% ( 0.1) | 35.14% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.4) | 45.74% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.38) | 68.06% ( 0.38) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.4) | 22.81% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( -0.59) | 56.52% ( 0.59) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.01) | 25.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 0.01) | 60.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.15% |
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