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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
SL

PSV
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Schouten (15')
Junior (22'), Tillman (64'), Lang (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Braganca (84')
Tcherno Quenda (53'), Braganca (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Sporting Lisbon

Two dominant sides domestically meet here in a very close encounter that is hard to call, but with great attacking quality on both sides, it is likely to produce goals. PSV need a result, ideally a win, after their opening defeat, but Sporting are many people's dark horse for this season's competition, and will provide a stern challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSporting Lisbon
39.87% (-0.443 -0.44) 24.98% (0.099 0.1) 35.14% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-0.402 -0.4)45.74% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-0.383 -0.38)68.06% (0.381 0.38)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)22.81% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (-0.588 -0.59)56.52% (0.585 0.59)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 39.87%
    Sporting Lisbon 35.15%
    Draw 24.97%
PSV EindhovenDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.095 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-3 PSV
Sunday, September 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 PSV
Tuesday, September 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-7 PSV
Saturday, August 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 AVS
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-5 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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