SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Nacional |
43.35% ( 0.19) | 27.26% ( -0.06) | 29.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% ( 0.18) | 56.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( 0.14) | 77.73% ( -0.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.18) | 25.98% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 0.24) | 60.99% ( -0.24) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0) | 34.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( -0) | 71.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.39% |
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