SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
57.74% ( -0.01) | 23.01% ( 0) | 19.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( 0.02) | 48.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( 0.01) | 70.87% ( -0.01) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 0) | 16.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0) | 46.45% ( 0) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.03) | 39.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.02) | 76.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.25% |
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