SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mafra | Draw | Vizela |
25.59% ( 0) | 24.88% ( 0.02) | 49.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.08) | 49.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( -0.07) | 71.76% ( 0.07) |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.04) | 33.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( -0.04) | 70.63% ( 0.04) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( -0.04) | 20.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( -0.07) | 52.37% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mafra | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.59% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.51% |
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