SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Mafra |
54.21% ( 0.06) | 23.43% | 22.36% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.07) | 46.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.07) | 68.95% ( 0.07) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.01) | 17.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( -0.01) | 47.34% ( 0) |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.1) | 35.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -0.1) | 71.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Mafra |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 22.36% |
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