Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Camacha had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Camacha win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
-0.43) 
0.76) 
